BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Hugo Gaston vs Yannick Hanfmann · Match odds & ELO prediction

Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2025 • 5:40 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Hugo Gaston

Key insights

Player performance profile

Hugo Gaston

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,849 points across 33 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.72% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.575% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.554% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%15% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Yannick Hanfmann

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,637 points across 64 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.680% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.280% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-3.524% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
45%34% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Hugo Gaston and Yannick Hanfmann are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Gaston enters with a 6–14 record on clay courts in 2025, while Hanfmann has posted a 17–12 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Hanfmann entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Hanfmann leads 4–1 over Gaston.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Gaston and Hanfmann have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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