BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Hugo Gaston vs Yannick Hanfmann · Match odds & ELO prediction

Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2025 • 5:40 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Hugo Gaston

Key insights

Player performance profile

Hugo Gaston

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

47%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,090 points across 35 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.92% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.972% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.152% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%14% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Yannick Hanfmann

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,928 points across 66 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.882% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.181% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.016% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
46%35% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Hugo Gaston and Yannick Hanfmann are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Gaston enters with a 6–14 record on clay courts in 2025, while Hanfmann has posted a 17–12 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Hanfmann entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Hanfmann leads 4–1 over Gaston.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Gaston and Hanfmann alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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