BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Raphael Collignon vs Guy Den Ouden · Match odds & ELO prediction

Oeiras 3 • Clay • Apr 17, 2025 • 4:15 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Raphael Collignon

Key insights

Player performance profile

Raphael Collignon

HARD

67% · 42 on hard

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,203 points across 26 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.527% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.363% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+11.799% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
80%97% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Guy Den Ouden

HARDSmall sample

33% · 12 on hard

CLAY

75% · 4615 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

0% · 01 on grass

Games won (last 10)

43%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~953 points across 6 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.219% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.516% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.744% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Raphael Collignon and Guy Den Ouden are set to meet at the Oeiras 3 on April 17, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Collignon enters with a 15–9 record on clay courts in 2025, while Ouden has posted a 46–15 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Collignon leads 2–1 over Ouden, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Collignon, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Ouden has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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