Eva Vedder vs Alina Charaeva · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Madrid • Clay • Apr 17, 2025 • 9:15 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alina Charaeva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Eva Vedder
62% · 16–10 on hard
52% · 22–20 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~780 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~780 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alina Charaeva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,221 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,221 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +15.3 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Eva Vedder and Alina Charaeva are set to meet at the W100 Madrid on April 17, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Vedder enters with a 22–20 record on clay courts in 2025, while Charaeva has posted a 22–11 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Charaeva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Charaeva leads 2–0 over Vedder, including a win in their most recent meeting.