Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Andrey Rublev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Barcelona • Clay • Apr 17, 2025 • 11:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,601 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,601 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.3 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 74% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,426 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,426 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 52% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 39% | 24% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Andrey Rublev are set to meet at the Barcelona on April 17, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Fokina enters with a 9–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Rublev has posted a 8–6 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 4–1 over Fokina.