Match analytics

Elise Mertens vs Diana Shnaider · Match odds & ELO prediction

Stuttgart • Clay • Apr 16, 2025 • 8:00 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Elise Mertens

Key insights

Player performance profile

Elise Mertens

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,757 points across 55 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.592% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.453% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.445% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%43% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Diana Shnaider

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,360 points across 56 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.873% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.042% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.940% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
47%39% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Elise Mertens and Diana Shnaider are set to meet at the Stuttgart on April 16, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Mertens enters with a 6–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Shnaider has posted a 8–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shnaider entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Mertens and Shnaider have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.