Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Lourdes Carle Maria · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Madrid • Clay • Apr 16, 2025 • 10:25 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
52% · 11–10 on hard
60% · 26–17 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~450 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~450 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lourdes Carle Maria
44% · 7–9 on hard
55% · 26–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 6% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Lourdes Carle Maria are set to meet at the W100 Madrid on April 16, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Garcia enters with a 26–17 record on clay courts in 2025, while Maria has posted a 26–21 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.