Jozef Kovalik vs Arthur Rinderknech · Match odds & ELO prediction
Barcelona • Clay • Apr 12, 2025 • 2:30 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Arthur Rinderknech
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jozef Kovalik
25% · 2–6 on hard
44% · 11–14 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,690 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,690 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.0 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arthur Rinderknech
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,812 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,812 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 81% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.9 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.9 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 29% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jozef Kovalik and Arthur Rinderknech are set to meet at the Barcelona on April 12, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Kovalik enters with a 11–14 record on clay courts in 2025, while Rinderknech has posted a 8–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rinderknech entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rinderknech leads 3–0 over Kovalik, including a win in their most recent meeting.