Tomas Barrios Vera vs Emilio Nava · Match odds & ELO prediction
Sarasota • Clay • Apr 11, 2025 • 8:25 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Emilio Nava
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tomas Barrios Vera
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,150 points across 28 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,150 points across 28 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Emilio Nava
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,421 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,421 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.0 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 75% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tomas Barrios Vera and Emilio Nava are set to meet at the Sarasota on April 11, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Vera enters with a 42–20 record on clay courts in 2025, while Nava has posted a 45–19 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Nava leads 3–1 over Vera, including a win in their most recent meeting.