Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex De Minaur · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 11, 2025 • 1:25 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alex De Minaur
Key insights
Player performance profile
Grigor Dimitrov
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,510 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,510 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 88% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 75% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.3 | 93% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 82% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex De Minaur
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,816 points across 80 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,816 points across 80 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.3 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 34% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Grigor Dimitrov and Alex De Minaur are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 11, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Dimitrov enters with a 5–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Minaur has posted a 10–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Minaur entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Minaur leads 3–1 over Dimitrov, including a win in their most recent meeting.