Luka Pavlovic vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez · Match odds & ELO prediction
Mexico City • Clay • Apr 9, 2025 • 7:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Luka Pavlovic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Luka Pavlovic
25% · 1–3 on hard
61% · 30–19 on clay
67% · 2–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,636 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,636 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.5 | 89% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 75% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
63%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~982 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~982 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.9 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Luka Pavlovic and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez are set to meet at the Mexico City on April 9, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Pavlovic enters with a 30–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Mendez has posted a 18–21 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Pavlovic, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Pavlovic leads 2–1 over Mendez, including a win in their most recent meeting.