August Holmgren vs Valentin Royer · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 9, 2025 • 11:40 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Valentin Royer
Key insights
Player performance profile
August Holmgren
50% · 12–12 on hard
100% · 1–0 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,370 points across 18 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,370 points across 18 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.0 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.4 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Valentin Royer
17% · 2–10 on hard
62% · 8–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,154 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,154 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 73% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 29% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
August Holmgren and Valentin Royer are set to meet at the Madrid on April 9, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Holmgren enters with a 3–8 record on clay courts in 2025, while Royer has posted a 31–11 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Royer entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Royer leads 2–1 over Holmgren, including a win in their most recent meeting.