Nick Hardt vs Valentin Royer · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 8, 2025 • 1:30 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Valentin Royer
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nick Hardt
25% · 1–3 on hard
59% · 23–16 on clay
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~96 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~96 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.2 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Valentin Royer
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,567 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,567 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 75% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nick Hardt and Valentin Royer are set to meet at the Madrid on April 8, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Hardt enters with a 23–16 record on clay courts in 2025, while Royer has posted a 31–11 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Royer entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Royer leads 2–1 over Hardt, including a win in their most recent meeting.