Nick Hardt vs Valentin Royer · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 8, 2025 • 1:30 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Valentin Royer
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nick Hardt
57% · 4–3 on hard
90% · 9–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~96 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~96 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.2 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 90% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Valentin Royer
17% · 2–10 on hard
62% · 8–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,154 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,154 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 73% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 29% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nick Hardt and Valentin Royer are set to meet at the Madrid on April 8, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Hardt enters with a 23–16 record on clay courts in 2025, while Royer has posted a 31–11 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Royer, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Royer leads 2–1 over Hardt, including a win in their most recent meeting.