Andrey Rublev vs Gael Monfils · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 9, 2025 • 11:45 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Andrey Rublev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,426 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,426 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 52% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 29% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gael Monfils
61% · 14–9 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
25% · 1–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,544 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,544 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrey Rublev and Gael Monfils are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 9, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Rublev enters with a 8–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Monfils has posted a 3–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rublev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 3–0 over Monfils, including a win in their most recent meeting.