Match analytics

Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilo · Match odds & ELO prediction

Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 9, 2025 • 2:05 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Alejandro Tabilo

Key insights

Player performance profile

Novak Djokovic

HARD

78% · 257 on hard

CLAY

75% · 93 on clay

GRASS

83% · 51 on grass

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,962 points across 48 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
6.298% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
1.293% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.943% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
67%88% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alejandro Tabilo

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

47%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,248 points across 37 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.054% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.38% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+3.174% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
52%58% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Novak Djokovic and Alejandro Tabilo are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 9, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Djokovic enters with a 9–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Tabilo has posted a 6–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Djokovic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tabilo leads 2–1 over Djokovic.

Recent singles form slightly favors Djokovic, who has won 5 of his last five matches, while Tabilo has gone 2–3 over the same span.