Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitano · Match odds & ELO prediction
Mexico City • Clay • Apr 7, 2025 • 9:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Luka Pavlovic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Luka Pavlovic
25% · 1–3 on hard
61% · 30–19 on clay
67% · 2–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,311 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,311 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.6 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.8 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stefano Napolitano
47% · 7–8 on hard
55% · 12–10 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~961 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~961 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 56% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Luka Pavlovic and Stefano Napolitano are set to meet at the Mexico City on April 7, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Pavlovic enters with a 30–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Napolitano has posted a 12–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Napolitano, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.