Lorenzo Sonego vs Pedro Martinez · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 8, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Pedro Martinez
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Sonego
50% · 2–2 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,932 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,932 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 38% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pedro Martinez
67% · 6–3 on hard
41% · 7–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,297 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,297 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.3 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 31% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Sonego and Pedro Martinez are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 8, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Sonego enters with a 1–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Martinez has posted a 6–15 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sonego, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.