Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 7, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Marcos Giron
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marcos Giron
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,336 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,336 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 36% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Denis Shapovalov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,294 points across 46 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,294 points across 46 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.2 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marcos Giron and Denis Shapovalov are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 7, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Giron enters with a 4–7 record on clay courts in 2025, while Shapovalov has posted a 2–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Shapovalov, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Giron leads 3–2 over Shapovalov.