Guy Den Ouden vs Max Houkes · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula • Clay • Apr 4, 2025 • 10:45 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Max Houkes
Key insights
Player performance profile
Guy Den Ouden
20% · 1–4 on hard
17% · 1–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,062 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,062 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Max Houkes
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~192 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~192 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 45% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.0 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Guy Den Ouden and Max Houkes are set to meet at the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula on April 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Ouden enters with a 46–15 record on clay courts in 2025, while Houkes has posted a 44–27 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Ouden, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Houkes leads 3–1 over Ouden, including a win in their most recent meeting.