Daria Kasatkina vs Sofia Kenin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Charleston • Clay • Apr 3, 2025 • 11:45 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Sofia Kenin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daria Kasatkina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,184 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,184 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 55% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sofia Kenin
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,312 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,312 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 56% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daria Kasatkina and Sofia Kenin are set to meet at the Charleston on April 3, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Kasatkina enters with a 5–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Kenin has posted a 9–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kenin entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kasatkina leads 3–2 over Kenin.