Pablo Varillas Juan vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · Match odds & ELO prediction
Campinas • Clay • Apr 4, 2025 • 2:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Pablo Varillas Juan
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pablo Varillas Juan
0% · 0–1 on hard
62% · 31–19 on clay
Games won (last 10)
37%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.3 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
50% · 4–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Pablo Varillas Juan and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida are set to meet at the Campinas on April 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Juan enters with a 31–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Almeida has posted a 39–24 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Almeida, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Juan leads 3–1 over Almeida, including a win in their most recent meeting.