Bernard Tomic vs Alexis Galarneau · Match odds & ELO prediction
Morelos • Hard • Apr 3, 2025 • 7:30 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alexis Galarneau
Key insights
Player performance profile
Bernard Tomic
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,449 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,449 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexis Galarneau
57% · 35–26 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,825 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,825 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.2 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Bernard Tomic and Alexis Galarneau are set to meet at the Morelos on April 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tomic enters with a 32–25 record on hard courts in 2025, while Galarneau has posted a 35–26 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Galarneau leads 2–1 over Tomic, including a win in their most recent meeting.