Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Nick Hardt · Match odds & ELO prediction
Menorca • Clay • Apr 2, 2025 • 11:15 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Daniel Merida Aguilar
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniel Merida Aguilar
67% · 12–6 on hard
76% · 13–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,216 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,216 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 90% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.2 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nick Hardt
57% · 4–3 on hard
90% · 9–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~96 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~96 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.2 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 90% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniel Merida Aguilar and Nick Hardt are set to meet at the Menorca on April 2, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Aguilar enters with a 35–16 record on clay courts in 2025, while Hardt has posted a 23–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Aguilar, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Aguilar leads 2–1 over Hardt, including a win in their most recent meeting.