Varvara Lepchenko vs Hanna Chang · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bogota • Clay • Apr 1, 2025 • 3:05 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Hanna Chang
Key insights
Player performance profile
Varvara Lepchenko
52% · 17–16 on hard
55% · 21–17 on clay
25% · 1–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,298 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,298 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hanna Chang
33% · 10–20 on hard
47% · 9–10 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,161 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,161 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 25% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 45% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -17.6 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Varvara Lepchenko and Hanna Chang are set to meet at the Bogota on April 1, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Lepchenko enters with a 21–17 record on clay courts in 2025, while Chang has posted a 9–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Chang entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.