Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien · Match odds & ELO prediction
Houston • Clay • Mar 31, 2025 • 11:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alex Michelsen
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex Michelsen
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,587 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,587 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.2 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Learner Tien
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,895 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,895 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 73% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 41% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex Michelsen and Learner Tien are set to meet at the Houston on March 31, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Michelsen enters with a 6–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Tien has posted a 3–7 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Michelsen leads 3–1 over Tien, including a win in their most recent meeting.