Dmitry Popko vs Hugo Grenier · Match odds & ELO prediction
Morelia • Hard • Mar 30, 2025 • 12:00 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Dmitry Popko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Dmitry Popko
57% · 16–12 on hard
32% · 8–17 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,605 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,605 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hugo Grenier
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,494 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,494 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 50% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Dmitry Popko and Hugo Grenier are set to meet at the Morelia on March 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Popko enters with a 16–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Grenier has posted a 39–27 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Grenier, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Grenier leads 2–1 over Popko.