Raul Brancaccio vs Alex Molcan · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Tarragona • Clay • Mar 27, 2025 • 10:15 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Raul Brancaccio
Key insights
Player performance profile
Raul Brancaccio
67% · 2–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~137 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~137 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 33% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex Molcan
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,856 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,856 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 9% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Raul Brancaccio and Alex Molcan are set to meet at the M25 Tarragona on March 27, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Brancaccio enters with a 24–25 record on clay courts in 2025, while Molcan has posted a 35–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Brancaccio entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Brancaccio leads 4–0 over Molcan, including a win in their most recent meeting.