Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajal · Match odds & ELO prediction
Morelia • Hard • Mar 27, 2025 • 11:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Bernard Tomic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Bernard Tomic
44% · 7–9 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,785 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,785 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mark Lajal
53% · 9–8 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,499 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,499 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -9.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Bernard Tomic and Mark Lajal are set to meet at the Morelia on March 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tomic enters with a 32–25 record on hard courts in 2025, while Lajal has posted a 35–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Lajal, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Tomic leads 3–0 over Lajal, including a win in their most recent meeting.