Jodie Burrage vs Tatjana Maria · Match odds & ELO prediction
Puerto Vallarta • Hard • Mar 26, 2025 • 8:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Tatjana Maria
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jodie Burrage
32% · 7–15 on hard
17% · 1–5 on clay
29% · 2–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,376 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,376 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.6 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.1 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 18% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tatjana Maria
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,658 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,658 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.0 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 12% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jodie Burrage and Tatjana Maria are set to meet at the Puerto Vallarta on March 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Burrage enters with a 7–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Maria has posted a 17–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Maria entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Maria leads 2–0 over Burrage, including a win in their most recent meeting.