Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 26, 2025 • 12:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Aryna Sabalenka
Key insights
Player performance profile
Aryna Sabalenka
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,073 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,073 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.3 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.9 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Qinwen Zheng
62% · 8–5 on hard
71% · 10–4 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,127 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,127 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.7 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Qinwen Zheng are set to meet at the Miami on March 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sabalenka enters with a 39–7 record on hard courts in 2025, while Zheng has posted a 8–5 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zheng entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sabalenka leads 7–1 over Zheng, including a win in their most recent meeting.