Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatek · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 25, 2025 • 2:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Iga Swiatek
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elina Svitolina
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,094 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,094 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,714 points across 93 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,714 points across 93 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elina Svitolina and Iga Swiatek are set to meet at the Miami on March 25, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Svitolina enters with a 14–9 record on hard courts in 2025, while Swiatek has posted a 41–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Svitolina entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.