Taylor Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 24, 2025 • 5:50 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Taylor Fritz
Key insights
Player performance profile
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,943 points across 88 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,943 points across 88 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.7 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Denis Shapovalov
50% · 6–6 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,383 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,383 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.5 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Taylor Fritz and Denis Shapovalov are set to meet at the Miami on March 24, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fritz enters with a 36–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Shapovalov has posted a 23–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fritz entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 4 wins.