Dane Sweeny vs Blake Ellis · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Swan Hill • Grass • Mar 23, 2025 • 2:15 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Blake Ellis
Key insights
Player performance profile
Dane Sweeny
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~804 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~804 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.2 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Blake Ellis
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~183 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~183 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Dane Sweeny and Blake Ellis are set to meet at the M25 Swan Hill on March 23, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Sweeny enters with a 7–2 record on grass courts in 2025, while Ellis has posted a 8–1 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sweeny, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Ellis leads 3–2 over Sweeny, including a win in their most recent meeting.