Grigor Dimitrov vs Karen Khachanov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 23, 2025 • 3:15 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Grigor Dimitrov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Grigor Dimitrov
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,236 points across 28 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,236 points across 28 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.7 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 96% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karen Khachanov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,201 points across 68 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,201 points across 68 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.6 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Grigor Dimitrov and Karen Khachanov are set to meet at the Miami on March 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Dimitrov enters with a 10–6 record on hard courts in 2025, while Khachanov has posted a 15–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Dimitrov entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Dimitrov leads 4–1 over Khachanov, including a win in their most recent meeting.