Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Safiullin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 22, 2025 • 7:15 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Roman Safiullin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexei Popyrin
18% · 2–9 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,243 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,243 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Roman Safiullin
43% · 9–12 on hard
43% · 3–4 on clay
20% · 1–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,658 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,658 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexei Popyrin and Roman Safiullin are set to meet at the Miami on March 22, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Popyrin enters with a 7–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Safiullin has posted a 9–12 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Safiullin leads 3–1 over Popyrin, including a win in their most recent meeting.