Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonego · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 22, 2025 • 4:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Taylor Fritz
Key insights
Player performance profile
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,625 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,625 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.8 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.4 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 66% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lorenzo Sonego
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,773 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,773 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 38% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Taylor Fritz and Lorenzo Sonego are set to meet at the Miami on March 22, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fritz enters with a 36–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Sonego has posted a 19–20 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fritz entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Fritz leads 4–1 over Sonego, including a win in their most recent meeting.