BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Leylah Fernandez vs Ashlyn Krueger · Match odds & ELO prediction

Miami • Hard • Mar 22, 2025 • 3:00 PM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Ashlyn Krueger

Key insights

Player performance profile

Leylah Fernandez

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,077 points across 57 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.784% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.025% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.843% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
50%50% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Ashlyn Krueger

HARDSmall sample

0% · 02 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,313 points across 56 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.247% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.112% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+6.187% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
69%87% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Leylah Fernandez and Ashlyn Krueger are set to meet at the Miami on March 22, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fernandez enters with a 28–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Krueger has posted a 18–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Krueger entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Krueger leads 3–1 over Fernandez, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Krueger, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Fernandez has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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