BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Zizou Bergs vs Andrey Rublev · Match odds & ELO prediction

Miami • Hard • Mar 22, 2025 • 10:45 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Zizou Bergs

Key insights

Player performance profile

Zizou Bergs

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,811 points across 69 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.234% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.853% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.858% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
59%72% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Andrey Rublev

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,229 points across 69 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.883% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.559% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-5.79% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
38%20% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Zizou Bergs and Andrey Rublev are set to meet at the Miami on March 22, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Bergs enters with a 23–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rublev has posted a 22–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rublev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bergs leads 2–1 over Rublev, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Rublev, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Bergs has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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