James Watt vs Blake Ellis · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Swan Hill • Grass • Mar 19, 2025 • 5:05 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Blake Ellis
Key insights
Player performance profile
James Watt
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Blake Ellis
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~183 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~183 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
James Watt and Blake Ellis are set to meet at the M25 Swan Hill on March 19, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Watt enters with a 3–4 record on grass courts in 2025, while Ellis has posted a 8–1 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Ellis, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Ellis leads 2–0 over Watt, including a win in their most recent meeting.