Marco Trungelliti vs Alexander Ritschard · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 17, 2025 • 6:55 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Marco Trungelliti
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marco Trungelliti
33% · 4–8 on hard
69% · 42–19 on clay
33% · 1–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,043 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,043 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 65% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Ritschard
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~570 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~570 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.7 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marco Trungelliti and Alexander Ritschard are set to meet at the Miami on March 17, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Trungelliti enters with a 4–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Ritschard has posted a 6–5 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Trungelliti, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Trungelliti leads 3–0 over Ritschard, including a win in their most recent meeting.