Dmitry Popko vs Andres Andrade · Match odds & ELO prediction
Merida • Clay • Mar 18, 2025 • 5:00 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Dmitry Popko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Dmitry Popko
57% · 16–12 on hard
32% · 8–17 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,605 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,605 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andres Andrade
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~283 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~283 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 36% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Dmitry Popko and Andres Andrade are set to meet at the Merida on March 18, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Popko enters with a 8–17 record on clay courts in 2025, while Andrade has posted a 17–12 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Andrade, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Popko leads 3–0 over Andrade, including a win in their most recent meeting.