Tatjana Maria vs Leolia Jeanjean · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 16, 2025 • 5:50 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Tatjana Maria
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tatjana Maria
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,913 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,913 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Leolia Jeanjean
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,546 points across 34 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,546 points across 34 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 59% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.5 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 86% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tatjana Maria and Leolia Jeanjean are set to meet at the Miami on March 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Maria enters with a 17–19 record on hard courts in 2025, while Jeanjean has posted a 22–15 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Maria leads 3–0 over Jeanjean, including a win in their most recent meeting.