BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Tatjana Maria vs Leolia Jeanjean · Match odds & ELO prediction

Miami • Hard • Mar 16, 2025 • 5:50 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Tatjana Maria

Key insights

Player performance profile

Tatjana Maria

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,658 points across 48 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.719% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.19% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-7.09% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
29%12% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Leolia Jeanjean

HARDSmall sample

0% · 02 on hard

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,642 points across 35 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.756% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.619% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.682% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
67%86% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Tatjana Maria and Leolia Jeanjean are set to meet at the Miami on March 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Maria enters with a 17–19 record on hard courts in 2025, while Jeanjean has posted a 22–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Maria entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Maria leads 4–0 over Jeanjean, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Maria and Jeanjean alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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