BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Jelle Sels · Match odds & ELO prediction

Cherbourg • Hard • Mar 16, 2025 • 2:10 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Key insights

Player performance profile

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,838 points across 31 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.054% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.714% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.368% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%47% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Jelle Sels

HARD

58% · 2216 on hard

CLAY

54% · 2118 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

0% · 01 on grass

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~100 points across 1 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.78% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.661% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.656% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Jelle Sels are set to meet at the Cherbourg on March 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Herbert enters with a 16–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Sels has posted a 22–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Herbert entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Herbert leads 3–0 over Sels, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Herbert and Sels alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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