Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao vs Ignacio Buse · Match odds & ELO prediction
Santiago • Clay • Mar 14, 2025 • 8:35 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Ignacio Buse
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
0% · 0–2 on hard
63% · 50–30 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~295 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~295 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.2 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ignacio Buse
47% · 7–8 on hard
67% · 39–19 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,690 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,690 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.1 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao and Ignacio Buse are set to meet at the Santiago on March 14, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Joao enters with a 50–30 record on clay courts in 2025, while Buse has posted a 39–19 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Buse, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Joao leads 2–1 over Buse, including a win in their most recent meeting.