Alexandre Muller vs Constant Lestienne · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cap Cana • Hard • Mar 14, 2025 • 7:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alexandre Muller
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexandre Muller
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,589 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,589 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.0 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 75% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Constant Lestienne
48% · 14–15 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,237 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,237 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexandre Muller and Constant Lestienne are set to meet at the Cap Cana on March 14, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Muller enters with a 15–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Lestienne has posted a 14–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Lestienne entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Muller leads 3–1 over Lestienne, including a win in their most recent meeting.