Tomas Barrios Vera vs Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao · Match odds & ELO prediction
Santiago • Clay • Mar 13, 2025 • 8:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tomas Barrios Vera
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,320 points across 22 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,320 points across 22 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
0% · 0–2 on hard
63% · 50–30 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~295 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~295 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.2 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tomas Barrios Vera and Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao are set to meet at the Santiago on March 13, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Vera enters with a 42–20 record on clay courts in 2025, while Joao has posted a 50–30 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Vera, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Vera leads 4–2 over Joao, including a win in their most recent meeting.