Donna Vekic vs Madison Keys · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 12, 2025 • 8:50 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Madison Keys
Key insights
Player performance profile
Donna Vekic
47% · 7–8 on hard
73% · 8–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,608 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,608 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.4 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Madison Keys
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,531 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,531 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.4 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Donna Vekic and Madison Keys are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 12, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Vekic enters with a 10–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Keys has posted a 24–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Keys entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Keys leads 3–1 over Vekic, including a win in their most recent meeting.