Jack Draper vs Taylor Fritz · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 12, 2025 • 11:30 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jack Draper
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jack Draper
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,581 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,581 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.5 | 94% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.8 | 56% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,943 points across 88 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,943 points across 88 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.7 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jack Draper and Taylor Fritz are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 12, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Draper enters with a 14–3 record on hard courts in 2025, while Fritz has posted a 36–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Draper leads 3–2 over Fritz, including a win in their most recent meeting.