BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreeva · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 12, 2025 • 2:55 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Mirra Andreeva

Key insights

Player performance profile

Elena Rybakina

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,339 points across 85 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
7.5100% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.335% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.269% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
59%71% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Mirra Andreeva

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,754 points across 63 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.591% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.182% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.966% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
50%52% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Elena Rybakina and Mirra Andreeva are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 12, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rybakina enters with a 42–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Andreeva has posted a 24–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rybakina, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Andreeva leads 3–1 over Rybakina, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Rybakina, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Andreeva has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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