Match analytics

Alexander Bublik vs Aleksandar Vukic · Match odds & ELO prediction

Phoenix • Hard • Mar 12, 2025 • 10:30 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Alexander Bublik

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alexander Bublik

HARDSmall sample

100% · 40 on hard

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,690 points across 64 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.589% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.123% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
+0.049% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%49% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Aleksandar Vukic

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,585 points across 64 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.156% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.47% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.562% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
48%41% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alexander Bublik and Aleksandar Vukic are set to meet at the Phoenix on March 12, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Bublik enters with a 20–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Vukic has posted a 19–24 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Vukic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bublik leads 3–2 over Vukic, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Bublik and Vukic have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.