Alexander Bublik vs Aleksandar Vukic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Phoenix • Hard • Mar 12, 2025 • 10:30 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Alexander Bublik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,368 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,368 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Aleksandar Vukic
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
39%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,934 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,934 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 47% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.9 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.5 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Bublik and Aleksandar Vukic are set to meet at the Phoenix on March 12, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Bublik enters with a 20–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Vukic has posted a 19–24 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Vukic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bublik leads 3–2 over Vukic, including a win in their most recent meeting.