Alejandro Tabilo vs Taylor Fritz · Match odds & ELO prediction
Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 10, 2025 • 9:20 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Taylor Fritz
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Tabilo
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,248 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,248 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.1 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,679 points across 75 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,679 points across 75 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.7 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 65% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Tabilo and Taylor Fritz are set to meet at the Indian Wells on March 10, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tabilo enters with a 21–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Fritz has posted a 36–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Fritz leads 4–0 over Tabilo, including a win in their most recent meeting.